Institutional tension re-complicates the electoral process in Libya amid UN warnings

The institutional debate in Libya has returned to the forefront, after the escalation of the dispute between the House of Representatives and the Supreme Council of State regardingRestructuring the Board of Directors of the High National Elections CommissionIn a move that raised fears of its direct repercussions on the faltering electoral process.

The United Nations Support Mission in Libya expressedIts concern about this escalation, considering that any harm to the Commission would affect the essence of the political road map, especially since this body remained, according to an international description, among the few institutions that maintained a minimum level of cohesion and technical efficiency despite the political and institutional division.

An old agreement and a renewed disagreement

In a political reading of the situation, academic researcher Ahmed Al-Aboud considered that the current dispute is related to the faltering implementation ofAbu Zenika Agreement for the year 2021, which provided for the redistribution of sovereign positions according to a regional balance. He explained that the lack of political will among a number of parties prevented the implementation of this agreement, which contributed to the accumulation of disagreements and the return of tensions around key institutions, including the High Elections Commission.

The Central Bank as a turning point

Al-Aboud pointed out that the Central Bank crisis represented a turning point, prompting the UN mission to activate the mechanisms of the political agreement, especially Article 15 related to consensus between the House of Representatives and the state regarding sovereign positions. However, according to the spokesman, the method of managing this file deepened doubts about respecting the spirit of the agreement, and contributed to widening the circle of disagreement.

A two-stage international plan In a related context, the new UN envoy presented a plan based on two phases, starting with re-completing the composition of the commission and updating the electoral register, while providing the necessary legal and regulatory guarantees, before moving on to organizing legislative and presidential elections. The plan also includes addressing the problem of the two existing governments, by forming a unified government or merging them within a consensual framework.

Unilateral measures and an international position

Al-Aboud believes that some of the unilateral steps taken by the Supreme Council of State, especially with regard to restructuring the consensus committees and seeking to change the Election Commission, have confused this path, noting that the UN mission announced

Its failure to acknowledge these proceduresIn confirmation of its adherence to the approved international framework.The Election Commission is at the heart of the controversy

The controversy is intensifying, even though the Commission recently supervised municipal elections that received international praise, and announced its readiness to organize national elections if the legal and political conditions are met, which raises questions about the motives for reopening this file at this time.

A broader problem than the Commission

Observers conclude that the crisis extends beyond the High Elections Commission, to include

The file of sovereign positions as a wholeIn the absence of a comprehensive political consensus. Observers believe that temporarily stabilizing the status quo may be the least expensive option, until elections are reached that grant legitimacy to institutions capable of resolving these controversial issues.Source:

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